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Home > Columnists > Doug Strassler
January 06, 2018

2018 Television Golden Globe Predictions

by Doug Strassler

Best Drama Series

 

Nominees:

“The Crown” (Netflix)

“Game of Thrones” (HBO)

“The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)

“Stranger Things” (Netflix)

“This Is Us” (NBC)

 

Will Win: “The Handmaid’s Tale”

Could Win: “Stranger Things”

Should Win: “The Handmaid’s Tale”

Overlooked: “The Americans,” “Better Call Saul”

Since sweeping the Emmy, the world of “Handmaid’s Tale” has only become more relevant and political. I only hope Margaret Atwood and her handbag show up again onstage.

 

Best Actress in a Drama Series

 

Nominees:

Caitriona Balfe, “Outlander”

Claire Foy, “The Crown”

Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Deuce”

Katherine Langford, “13 Reasons Why”

Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale”

Will Win: Elisabeth Moss 

Could Win: Gyllenhaal

Should Win: Moss

Overlooked: Keri Russell, “The Americans,” Carrie Coon, “The Leftovers”

If “The Deuce” had turned out to be more of a draw, Gyllenhaal might be more likely to prevail here. For now, though, look for Moss to score a second Globe victory, this time for her galvanizing turn in “Handmaid’s Tale.”

 

Best Actor in a Drama Series

 

Nominees:

Jason Bateman, “Ozark”

Sterling K. Brown, “This Is Us”

Freddie Highmore, “The Good Doctor”

Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”

Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”

Will Win: Brown

Could Win: Bateman/Highmore

Should Win: Odenkirk

Overlooked: Matthew Rhys, “The Americans”

If I were to go by episodes, then Odenkirk had the best material. If I were to go by award momentum, then Emmy-winner Brown would remain the frontrunner. If I were to go by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s penchant for recognizing new shows and former child stars made good, I’d go with Highmore. But if I were to go by their love of Jason Bateman, I’d give him the edge. So for now…I’l say Brown.

 

Best Comedy Series

 

Nominees:

“Black-ish” (ABC)

“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon)

“Master of None” (Netflix)

“SMILF” (Showtime)

“Will & Grace” (NBC)

Will Win: “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”

Could Win: “Black-ish,” “Master of None”

Should Win: “Master of None”

Overlooked: “American Vandal,” “Catastrophe,” “Dear White People,” “Glow”

Eight months ago, I would have assigned this one to “Master of None;” its racial and gender orientation commentary made it catnip to voters, and a subplot about sexual harassment in show biz has only made it timelier. But the HFPA voters have a very short-term memory, and I think they might only reach as far back to November for Amy Sherman-Palladino’s new Amazon show. I only wish they’d extended the same generosity during “Gilmore girls”’ run.

 

Best Actress in a Comedy Series

 

Nominees:

Pamela Adlon, “Better Things”

Alison Brie, “GLOW”

Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”

Issa Rae, “Insecure”

Frankie Shaw, “SMILF”

Will Win: Brosnahan

Could Win: Rae

Should Win: Brie

Overlooked: Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”

I think Brosnahan, a “House of Cards” alum, will be buoyed along by a “Maisel” mini-sweep. But Rae, a return nominee, might have enough juice to eke out a win.

 

Best Actor in a Comedy Series

 

Nominees:

Anthony Anderson, “Black-ish”

Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”

Kevin Bacon, “I Love Dick”

William H. Macy, “Shameless”

Eric McCormack, “Will & Grace”

Will Win: McCormack

Could Win: Ansari

Should Win: Macy

Overlooked: Jimmy Tatro, “American Vandal”

“Master of None” had a smart season, but follow me here: “Will & Grace” has a highly publicized zero batting record at the Globes. It would be fitting for the show to finally win during its reboot season. And since McCormack is the only actor of the show’s quartet of actors, he’d be the one voters would select.

 

 

Best TV Movie or Limited Series

 

Nominees:

“Big Little Lies” (HBO)

“Fargo” (FX)

“Feud: Bette & Joan” (FX)

“The Sinner” (USA)

“Top of the Lake: China Girl” (SundanceTV)

Will Win: “Big Little Lies”

Could Win: “Feud: Bette & Joan”

Should Win: “Big Little Lies”

Overlooked: “The Young Pope”

Can anything stop the unstoppable “Big Little Lies?” I don’t think so. (Although the fact that they announced a pending second season makes this category fraud.)

 

Best Actress in a TV Movie or Limited Series

 

Nominees:

Jessica Biel, “The Sinner”

Nicole Kidman, “Big Little Lies”

Jessica Lange, “Feud: Bette & Joan”

Susan Sarandon, “Feud: Bette & Joan”

Reese Witherspoon, “Big Little Lies”

Will Win: Kidman

Could Win: Biel

Should Win: Kidman

Overlooked: Carla Gugino, “Gerald’s Game”

Look to Kidman to emerge from a starry category for her harrowing work as a victim of domestic abuse — a particularly fraught topic right now.

 

Best Actor in a TV Movie or Limited Series

 

Nominees:

Robert De Niro, “The Wizard of Lies”

Jude Law, “The Young Pope”

Kyle MacLachlan, “Twin Peaks: The Return”

Ewan McGregor, “Fargo”

Geoffrey Rush, “Genius”

Will Win: De Niro

Could Win: Law

Should Win: MacLachlan

Overlooked: Thomas Jane, “1922”

MacLachlan was terrific in last year’s experimental visit to “Twin Peaks,” but is it enough opposite Oscar winners like De Niro or Rush? Probably not. Give De Niro the edge for his tepid movie, but don’t discount Law.

 

Best Supporting Actress

 

Nominees:

Laura Dern, “Big Little Lies”

Ann Dowd, “The Handmaid’s Tale”

Chrissy Metz, “This Is Us”

Michelle Pfeiffer, “The Wizard of Lies”

Shailene Woodley, “Big Little Lies”

Will Win: Metz

Could Win: Dern

Should Win: Dowd

Overlooked: Rhea Seehorn, “Better Call Saul”

Dern has been all over the big and small screen this year, and she finally (finally!!!) won an Emmy for her role in “Big Little Lies.” But her three previous wins have all come as a surprise, and her predicted wins have never come through, so I’ll look toward the wonderful Metz for a rare network win.

 

Best Supporting Actor

 

Nominees:

David Harbour, “Stranger Things”

Alfred Molina, “Feud: Bette & Joan”

Alexander Skarsgård, “Big Little Lies”

Christian Slater, “Mr. Robot”

David Thewlis, “Fargo”

Will Win: Skarsgård

Could Win: Harbour

Should Win: Molina

Overlooked: Michael McKean, “Better Call Saul”

The best performance of the year last year was Michael McKean in “Better Call Saul,” even in a combined category such as this. Without him, Skarsgård’s likely victory remains a pyrrhic one.

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